6 Uncertainty And Probabilistic Reasoning

Artificial Intelligence · Unit 6

Uncertainty and Probabilistic Reasoning

Exam-focused notes for Uncertainty and Probabilistic Reasoning (Artificial Intelligence, BIT252): what the TU syllabus asks and how it has actually been tested, with 3 solved past questions from this unit.

What this unit covers

  • Dempster-Shafer theory
  • Belief networks
  • Statistical reasoning
  • Certainty factors and reasoning

Dempster-Shafer theory

20825 marks

State the Dempster-Shafer Theory. How is it used in statistical reasoning? [3+2]

Note: The reference notes did not contain this topic. The following answer is based on standard AI/Knowledge Representation curriculum as taught in BSc CSIT programs, consistent with Tribhuvan University syllabus. --- (a) Dempster-Shafer Theory Dempster-Sha...

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20795 marks

How Dempster - Shafer theory can be used for reasoning with certainty? Explain with an example. [5]

Note: The reference notes did not contain material on this topic. The following answer is based on standard AI/Knowledge Representation curriculum as taught in BSc CSIT programs. --- The Dempster-Shafer (D-S) Theory (also called the Theory of Evidence) is a...

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Belief networks

20805 marks

Explain about belief network with an example. [5]

A Belief Network (also called a Bayesian Network or Probabilistic Graphical Model) is a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that represents a set of random variables and their conditional dependencies using probability theory. It provides a compact representation ...

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