2076

STA169 · TU past paper

Statistics I 2076 question paper

The complete TU 2076 exam paper for Statistics I (STA169), all 13 questions with solved model answers written to the mark scheme.

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  1. 110 marksNumericalMeasures of dispersionAnswer

    What are the roles of measure of dispersion in descriptive statistics?

    Following table gives the frequency distribution of thickness of computer chips (in nanometer) manufactured by two companies.

    $$\begin{array}{|c|cccccc|}\hline \text{Thickness of computer chips} & 5 & 10 & 15 & 20 & 25 & 30 \ \hline \text{Number of chips} & & & & & & \ \text{Company A} & 10 & 15 & 24 & 20 & 18 & 13 \ \text{Company B} & 12 & 18 & 20 & 22 & 24 & 4 \ \hline \end{array}$$

    [10]

    Measures of Dispersion and Comparison of Two Companies

    Part 1: Roles of Measures of Dispersion in Descriptive Statistics

    A measure of dispersion quantifies the spread or scatter of observations around a central value. Its main roles are:

    1. Judging reliability of an average: Small dispersion means the average represents the data well; large dispersion weakens the average's reliability.
    2. Comparing consistency of two or more distributions (using relative measures such as CV), e.g. comparing two manufacturers.
    3. Quality control: Detects whether a process stays within acceptable variation limits.
    4. Foundation for advanced statistics: Standard deviation feeds into correlation, regression, skewness, kurtosis, and hypothesis testing.
    5. Homogeneity check: Low dispersion = homogeneous data; high dispersion = heterogeneous data.
    6. Unit-free comparison: The coefficient of variation allows comparison across datasets with different means/units.

    Part 2: Comparison Using Coefficient of Variation

    $$CV=\frac{\sigma}{\bar x}\times 100%,\qquad \text{lower CV } \Rightarrow \text{ more consistent.}$$

    Given Data

    • Thickness $x$: 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30 (nm)
    • Company A frequencies: 10, 15, 24, 20, 18, 13
    • Company B frequencies: 12, 18, 20, 22, 24, 4

    Company A

    $x$$f$$fx$$fx^2$
    51050250
    10151501500
    15243605400
    20204008000
    251845011250
    301339011700
    Σ100180038100

    $$\bar x_A=\frac{1800}{100}=18$$ $$\sigma_A^2=\frac{38100}{100}-18^2=381-324=57$$ $$\sigma_A=\sqrt{57}=7.5498$$ $$CV_A=\frac{7.5498}{18}\times100=41.94%$$

    Company B

    $x$$f$$fx$$fx^2$
    51260300
    10181801800
    15203004500
    20224408800
    252460015000
    3041203600
    Σ100170034000

    $$\bar x_B=\frac{1700}{100}=17$$ $$\sigma_B^2=\frac{34000}{100}-17^2=340-289=51$$ $$\sigma_B=\sqrt{51}=7.1414$$ $$CV_B=\frac{7.1414}{17}\times100=42.01%$$


    Summary

    MeasureCompany ACompany B
    Mean18 nm17 nm
    SD7.557.14
    CV41.94%42.01%

    Conclusion: $CV_A (41.94%) < CV_B (42.01%)$, so Company A is marginally more consistent. The difference is very small, so the two production processes have almost identical relative variability.

  2. 210 marksNumericalRegression AnalysisAnswer

    Question

    A study was done to study the effect of ambient temperature on the electric power consumed by a chemical plant. Following table gives the data which are collected from an experimental pilot plant.

    Temperature (°F)2745725831603474
    Electric Power (BTU)250285320295265298267321

    a. Identify which one is response variable, and fit a simple regression line, assuming that the relationship between them is linear.

    b. Interpret the regression coefficient with reference to your problem.

    c. Obtain coefficient of determination, and interpret this.

    d. Based on the fitted model in (a), predict the power consumption for an ambient temperature of $65°F$. [10+0]

    x = Temp (°F) 27 45 72 58 31 60 34 74 --------------------------- y = Power (BTU) 250 285 320 295 265 298 267 321 $n = 8$ x y x² xy y² ------------------ 27 250 729 6750 62500 45 285 2025 12825 81225 72 320 5184 23040 102400 58 295 3364 ...

  3. 310 marksContinuous distributionAnswer

    a. Define Normal distribution. What are the main characteristics of a Normal distribution? b. What do you mean by probability density function? Write down its properties.[10]

    --- A Normal Distribution is a continuous probability distribution of a random variable X with parameters μ (mean) and σ² (variance). Its probability density function is given by: $$f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}} \cdot e^{-\frac{1}{2...

  4. 45 marksNumericalMeasures of central tendencyAnswer

    The following table gives the installation time (in minutes) for hardware on 50 different computers. If the average installation time is 30.2 minutes, find missing frequencies.

    $$\begin{array}{|c|ccccc|c|}\hline \text{Installation Time} & 0-10 & 10-20 & 20-30 & 30-40 & 40-50 & \text{Total} \ \text{Number of computers} & 4 & - & 10 & - & 10 & 50 \ \hline \end{array}$$

    [5]

    Installation Time 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 Total :---::---::---::---::---::---::---: No. of computers 4 $f1$ 10 $f2$ 10 50 - Total frequency $N = 50$ - Mean $\bar{x} = 30.2$ minutes Missing frequencies: $f1$ (class 10-20) and $f2$ (c...

  5. 55 marksNumericalMeasures of central tendencyAnswer

    Power Failure Duration Analysis

    The length of power failure in minutes are recorded in the following table. Find $Q_3$, $D_2$ and $P_{40}$ and interpret the results.

    Power failure time22232425262728Total
    Frequency2571043233

    [5]

    Power Failure Time (x) 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 ------------------------ Frequency (f) 2 5 7 10 4 3 2 Total $N = 33$. x f cf --------- 22 2 2 23 5 7 24 7 14 25 10 24 26 4 28 27 3 31 28 2 33 For a discrete series we use position

  6. 65 marksNumericalBayes theoremAnswer

    A manufacturing company employs three analytical plans for the design and development of a particular product. For cost reasons, all three are used at varying times. In fact, plan 1, 2, and 3 are used for 30%, 20% and 50% of the products respectively. The defect rate in different procedures is as follows: $P(D/P_1) = 0.01$, $P(D/P_2) = 0.03$, $P(D/P_3) = 0.02$, where $P(D/P_j)$ is the probability of a defective product, given plan $j$. If a random product was observed and found to be defective, which plan was most likely used and thus responsible? [5]

    Plan Prior $P(Pj)$ Defect Rate $P(D/Pj)$ ------------------ $P1$ 0.30 0.01 $P2$ 0.20 0.03 $P3$ 0.50 0.02 Find: posterior $P(Pj/D)$ for each plan; identify the largest. $$P(D) = (0.30)(0.01) + (0.20)(0.03) + (0.50)(0.02)$$ $$P(D) = 0.003 ...

  7. 75 marksNumericalMathematical expectation of a random variaAnswer

    The random variable $X$ has the following probability distribution.

    $$\begin{array}{|c|ccccccc|}\hline X & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 \ P(X=x) & 0.03 & 0.15 & 0.4 & 0.2 & 0.1 & 0.07 & 0.05 \ \hline \end{array}$$

    [5]

    X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ------------------------ P(X=x) 0.03 0.15 0.40 0.20 0.10 0.07 0.05 The question statement does not specify what to compute. Standard interpretation for a 5-mark problem: verify validity, then find mean, variance, and stan...

  8. 85 marksNumericalJoint probability distribution of two randAnswer

    If two random variables have the joint probability density function $$f(x,y) = \begin{cases} k(2x + 3y), & 0 \leq x \leq 1, 0 \leq y \leq 1 \ 0, & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}$$

    find (i) constant $k$ (ii) conditional probability density function of $X$ (iii) Identify whether $X$ and $Y$ are independent. [5]

    Joint PDF Problem: f(x,y) = k(2x + 3y)

    Given Data

    • Joint PDF: $f(x,y) = k(2x+3y)$ for $0 \le x \le 1$, $0 \le y \le 1$; zero otherwise.

    (i) Finding the Constant k

    The total probability must equal 1:

    $$\int_0^1 \int_0^1 k(2x+3y), dx, dy = 1$$

    Inner integral (over x):

    $$\int_0^1 (2x+3y), dx = \left[x^2 + 3xy\right]_0^1 = 1 + 3y$$

    Outer integral (over y):

    $$k\int_0^1 (1+3y), dy = k\left[y + \tfrac{3y^2}{2}\right]_0^1 = k\left(1 + \tfrac{3}{2}\right) = \frac{5k}{2}$$

    Setting equal to 1:

    $$\frac{5k}{2} = 1 \implies \boxed{k = \frac{2}{5}}$$


    (ii) Conditional PDF of X

    The conditional PDF of $X$ given $Y=y$ is $f(x|y) = \dfrac{f(x,y)}{f_Y(y)}$.

    Marginal PDF of Y:

    $$f_Y(y) = \int_0^1 \frac{2}{5}(2x+3y), dx = \frac{2}{5}\left[x^2 + 3xy\right]_0^1 = \frac{2}{5}(1+3y), \quad 0 \le y \le 1$$

    Conditional PDF:

    $$f(x|y) = \frac{\frac{2}{5}(2x+3y)}{\frac{2}{5}(1+3y)} = \boxed{\frac{2x+3y}{1+3y}}, \quad 0 \le x \le 1$$


    (iii) Independence of X and Y

    Marginal PDF of X:

    $$f_X(x) = \int_0^1 \frac{2}{5}(2x+3y), dy = \frac{2}{5}\left[2xy + \frac{3y^2}{2}\right]_0^1 = \frac{2}{5}\left(2x + \frac{3}{2}\right) = \frac{4x+3}{5}, \quad 0 \le x \le 1$$

    Check factorization:

    $$f_X(x)\cdot f_Y(y) = \frac{4x+3}{5}\cdot \frac{2(1+3y)}{5} = \frac{2(4x+3)(1+3y)}{25}$$

    Compare with joint:

    $$f(x,y) = \frac{2(2x+3y)}{5} = \frac{10(2x+3y)}{25}$$

    Since

    $$\frac{2(4x+3)(1+3y)}{25} \ne \frac{10(2x+3y)}{25},$$

    the equality $f(x,y) = f_X(x)f_Y(y)$ fails.

    Conclusion: X and Y are NOT independent.

  9. 95 marksNumericalDiscrete distributionsAnswer

    A large chain retailer purchases a certain kind of electronic device from a manufacturer. The manufacturer indicates that the defective rate of the device is 15%. The inspector randomly picks 10 items from a shipment. What is the probability that there will be at least one defective item among these 10? [5]

    • Defective rate (probability of success): $p = 0.15$ - Non-defective probability: $q = 1 - p = 0.85$ - Sample size: $n = 10$ - Required: $P(X \geq 1)$ --- Each device is defective or not, selections are independent, and $p$ is constant....
  10. 105 marksNumericalDiscrete distributionsAnswer

    Message arrives at an electronic message center at random times, with an average of 9 messages per hour. a. What is the probability of receiving at least four messages during the next hour? b. What is the probability of receiving at most three messages during the next hour? [5]

    • Average rate: 9 messages per hour - Time interval: next 1 hour - Model: Poisson distribution - Parameter: $\lambda = 9$ Poisson probability mass function: $$P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^x}{x!}, \quad \lambda = 9$$ With
  11. 115 marksNumericalSpearman's rank correlationAnswer

    Question

    Following data represent the preference of 10 students studying B.Sc(CSIT) towards two brands of computer namely Lenovo and Acer. Apply appropriate statistical tool to measure whether the brand preference is correlated. Also interpret your result.

    $$\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}\hline \text{Computer} & \text{Student Preference} & & & & & & & & & \ \hline \text{Lenovo} & 5 & 2 & 9 & 8 & 1 & 10 & 3 & 4 & 6 & 7 \ \text{Acer} & 10 & 5 & 1 & 3 & 8 & 6 & 2 & 7 & 9 & 4 \ \hline \end{array}$$

    [5]

    Note: The question mentions DELL and HP in the text but the table gives Lenovo and Acer. I use the table data (the actual numbers). Ranks by 10 students, $n = 10$: Student Lenovo ($R1$) Acer ($R2$) --------- 1 5 10 2 2 5 3 9 1 4 8 3 5 1 ...

  12. 125 marksScales of measurementAnswer

    What do your mean by measurement scale? Describe the different types of measurement scales used in statistics. [5]

    The measurement consisting of counting the number of units or parts of units displayed by objects and phenomena is called a measurement scale. In other words, a measurement scale is a system or rule used to assign numbers or symbols to o...

  13. 135 marksTypes of samplingAnswer

    What is sampling? Discuss various probability sampling techniques with merits and demerits. [5]

    When one-by-one study of all units of a population is not possible due to factors like time, cost, manpower, resources, and destructive nature of study, we take a small representative part from the population for study. This small repres...